DeepMind 飓风突破令气象科学家惊讶

谷歌DeepMind的WeatherNext AI模型在Nature发表论文，证明其预测飓风比现有模型更准确，能提前更早发出预警。

• 2025年10月加勒比海风暴生成，传统气象模型在预测路径上存在分歧。
• WeatherNext由Google DeepMind和Google Research开发，在风暴登陆前5天给出预测。
• 该模型以80%置信度预测风暴将以5级飓风强度袭击牙买加。
• 飓风Melissa最终在牙买加造成洪水和山体滑坡，但AI预警为社区争取了准备时间。
• 研究发表于Nature，显示WeatherNext预测气旋的准确性前所未有。

• Five days before landfall, it predicted with 80 percent confidence that the storm system would hit Jamaica as a Category 5 hurricane.
• On average, it gives forecasters a day more lead time than existing models; this means its predictions three days out are as accurate as previous models’ predictions two days out.
• In a paper published on Thursday in Nature, researchers show that the WeatherNext AI model can predict cyclones with unprecedented accuracy.